Thursday, March 29, 2012

Syllable-based forecast of best performing yc-startups from March 2012 batch

As previously written in predicting startup performance with syllables those with few syllables - typically 1 or 2 - in their name is likely to perform the best (there are of course notable exceptions, a relatively recent one being pinterest.com and instagram.com). I also wrote a prediction of the fall 2011 ycombinator batch (including rough validation of hypothesis in the first posting) 

The lists below include the current alexa rank (as a rough estimate of traffic and traction), consider that a starting point, and then growth from here can be validated later. The hypothesis is that the average growth for the top list will be significantly higher than for the bottom list. 

note to self: 
 it would be interesting to later test hypotheses around well-known english words (e.g. pair and ark) vs "functional names" (e.g. 99dresses) vs "syntetic/wordsmith names" (e.g. dealupa). Other tests would be ratio of vovels to non-vovels and impact on traffic/traction.

A-list - Predicted best performers from the ycombinator 2012 batch

Ark  - 1 syllable - 255,810 (alexa traffic rank)
Chute - 1 syllable - 3,799,189
Crowdtilt - 2 syllables - 161,411
Exec - 2 syllables - 3,623,916
Flutter - 2 syllables - 611,535 (domain: flutter.io)
Flypad - 2 syllables - 23,111,805
Kyte  - 2 syllables - 669,753
Givespark - 2 syllables - 4,900,872
Hackpad - 2 syllables - 201,595
Minefold - 2 syllables - 783,034
Midnox - 2 syllables - 3,152,778
Pair - 2 syllables - 10,045
PlanGrid - 2 syllables - 887,681
Popset - 2 syllables - 429,324 (big in japan)
Screenleap - 2 syllables -  185,485
SendHub - 2 syllables - 190,276
TiKL  - 2 syllables - 23,917,339

B-list - The rest of the startups from the batch (> 2 syllables)
42Floors  - 197,479 (alexa rank)
99dresses - 606,730
AnyVivo - no  data
Carsabi - 212,484
Coderwall - 90,456
Daily Muse - 4,320,906
Dealupa - 411,214
EveryArt - 289,105
FamilyLeaf - 606,730
HireArt - 217,183
Lvl6 - 2,612,633
Matterport - 1,749,590
Medigram - 2,427,117
Per Vices - 3,274,070
Priceonomics - 100,322
Shoptiques - 256,195
Socialcam - 46,235
Sonalight - 1,832,186
Your Mechanic - 3,650,942
Zillabyte - 1,089,060


disclaimer:
This method only counts syllables in the name and is not scientifically validated, so no reason to be offended if your startup doesn't make the A-list. There might also be erroneous counts in syllables , please let me know if you find one.